Professional sample
Below is the complete Professional version of the Patriot card — not a description of one. Sections tagged PRO are what $290/year adds on top of the free archive. Same sources, same evidence labels, more depth.
Free already in the public archive
Pro Professional-only depth
Sample last reviewed 2026-06-09
System card — full Professional version
Public card last reviewed 2026-03-14
Free Core reference — published on the public card
Strengths
Limitations
Pro Procurement & production depth — 12 evidence-labeled rows vs 3 on the free card
| Date | Signal | Event | Customer | Claim | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Production / FMS demand | U.S. Army awarded Lockheed Martin a $4.761 billion PAC-3 MSE production contract; about 94% ($4.496 billion) is Foreign Military Sales-funded, with work running to mid-2030. Lockheed Martin · Qualified trade reporting citing the DoD contract announcement | United States + FMS customers | [FACT] | AeroTime on the April 2026 PAC-3 MSE award |
| 2026-05-13 | Delivery slip / cost growth | By May 2026, Swiss public-broadcaster reporting said Switzerland’s Patriot purchase faced major delivery delays and higher costs; media reports said costs could double, while Armasuisse publicly described expected extra costs as “50% plus” rather than confirming a 100% increase. RTX (Raytheon) via U.S. FMS · Swiss public-broadcaster reporting of media reports and government response | Switzerland | [FACT] | SWI swissinfo.ch on Swiss Patriot costs and delays |
| 2026-01-06 | Production framework | DoD and Lockheed Martin announced a seven-year framework agreement to raise PAC-3 MSE production capacity to 2,000 interceptors per year by the end of 2030 — roughly tripling output. Lockheed Martin · Qualified trade reporting from the DoD/Lockheed announcement roundtable | United States + FMS pool | [FACT] | Breaking Defense on the PAC-3 framework agreement |
| 2025-12 | Production milestone | Lockheed Martin delivered 620 PAC-3 MSE interceptors in 2025, a record year and roughly a 20% increase over 2024. Lockheed Martin · Qualified trade reporting; consistent with manufacturer 2025 production guidance | United States + FMS pool | [FACT] | Breaking Defense (January 2026), citing 2025 delivery totals |
| 2025-11-18 | Upgrade FMS | U.S. State Department approved a possible FMS of up to $105 million for Ukraine to upgrade its M901 Patriot launchers to the M903 configuration, which can fire the latest PAC-3 MSE interceptors. RTX (Raytheon) / Lockheed Martin · Trade reporting citing the DSCA congressional notification | Ukraine | [FACT] | Military Times on the Ukraine Patriot launcher-upgrade case |
| 2025-08-29 | FMS approval | U.S. State Department approved a possible $8.5 billion FMS to Denmark for an IBCS-enabled Patriot configuration, including 36 GEM-T and 20 PAC-3 MSE interceptors plus associated equipment. RTX (Raytheon) / Lockheed Martin · Qualified trade reporting citing the DSCA congressional notification | Denmark | [FACT] | Defense Daily on the Denmark IBCS-enabled Patriot case |
| 2025-07-16 | Delivery reprioritization | U.S. DoD informed Switzerland that deliveries of its five Patriot systems (ordered 2022, scheduled 2026–2028) would be postponed to reprioritize Patriot deliveries toward Ukraine. RTX (Raytheon) via U.S. FMS · Qualified trade reporting citing the Swiss DDPS statement | Switzerland | [FACT] | The Defense Post on the Swiss delivery postponement |
| 2025-04-21 | Radar modernization | LTAMDS (the Patriot radar replacement) passed Milestone C and entered low-rate initial production; six radars delivered to date, with output planned to rise from eight to twelve per year on international demand. RTX (Raytheon) · Qualified trade reporting citing Army and Raytheon statements | United States (lead) | [FACT] | Breaking Defense on LTAMDS Milestone C |
| 2024-12 | Production milestone | Lockheed Martin produced and delivered more than 500 PAC-3 MSE interceptors in 2024 (a 30%+ increase over 2023), under a U.S. Army contract to expand capacity to 650 per year by 2027. Lockheed Martin · Manufacturer release | United States + FMS pool | [FACT] | Lockheed Martin: PAC-3 MSE record production year |
| 2024-07-11 | Capability transfer | U.S. DoD announced one Patriot battery for Ukraine as part of a joint allied air-defense package. RTX (Raytheon) · U.S. DoD release (already cited on the public card) | Ukraine | [FACT] | Foundry Brief public Patriot card |
| 2024-07-11 | Contract award | RTX awarded a $1.2 billion contract to provide additional Patriot systems to Germany. RTX (Raytheon) · U.S. DoD release (already cited on the public card) | Germany | [FACT] | Foundry Brief public Patriot card |
| 2024-01-03 | European production / framework order | NSPA awarded COMLOG (RTX/MBDA joint venture) a contract worth up to $5.6 billion for up to 1,000 Patriot GEM-T interceptors for Germany, the Netherlands, Romania, and Spain under the European Sky Shield Initiative, expanding European GEM-T production capacity. COMLOG (RTX + MBDA) · Manufacturer release; corroborated by NSPA | Germany / Netherlands / Romania / Spain (via NSPA) | [FACT] | RTX: NSPA awards COMLOG a contract for Patriot missiles |
Pro Cost & budget visibility
Interceptor cost class: ~$5M per PAC-3 MSE [INFERENCE]
The April 2026 award ($4.761 billion) maps to a trade-press estimate of roughly 900–950 interceptors, implying a low-$5M class unit cost. Contract scope includes support items, so this is a class, not a flyaway price.
AeroTime contract analysisPackages dwarf interceptor math [INFERENCE]
Denmark’s $8.5 billion case covers an IBCS-enabled Patriot configuration with only 56 interceptors — integration, command systems, and support dominate package cost, not missiles.
Defense Daily on the Denmark caseCost growth risk on delayed cases [FACT]
Swiss reporting in May 2026 said Patriot costs could double from the original CHF 2.3 billion plan; Armasuisse did not confirm a 100% increase, but described expected extra costs as “50% plus.” Delay exposure is also price exposure under FMS.
SWI swissinfo.chNo official, normalized per-battery price exists in public sources reviewed. Figures above are package- and contract-level signals; Foundry Brief does not synthesize a single battery price.
Pro Delivery visibility
The order book is export-driven [FACT]
About 94% of the April 2026 PAC-3 MSE award is FMS-funded. Allied demand, not U.S. restocking, is what is loading the production line.
AeroTime contract analysisSigned orders can still lose their slot [FACT]
Switzerland ordered in 2022 with 2026–2028 deliveries and was postponed indefinitely in July 2025 when U.S. priorities shifted to Ukraine — queue position is political, not contractual.
The Defense PostRelief is planned, not delivered [INFERENCE]
The ramp from 620 interceptors (2025) toward 2,000 per year (end-2030 target) and European GEM-T production via COMLOG are real but forward-dated. Treat delivery slots as the binding constraint through at least the late 2020s.
Breaking Defense on the production frameworkPro Decision notes — Patriot against its tier
Choose Patriot when interoperability is the requirement [INFERENCE]
Nineteen operator countries, a combat-proven record, and the IBCS-enabled path (what Denmark is buying) make Patriot the default where NATO integration and U.S. alignment dominate the decision.
Price the queue into any Patriot decision [INFERENCE]
Between FMS-dominated demand and the Swiss precedent, assume multi-year slot risk on new orders — and model what an air-defense gap costs in the interim.
SAMP/T is the sovereignty alternative, with its own ramp risk [INFERENCE]
Switzerland’s public evaluation of SAMP/T after the Patriot postponement shows the substitution logic. SAMP/T NG is only now entering deliveries, so the European alternative trades queue risk for maturity risk.
For budget scans, price the package, not the missile [RECOMMENDATION]
Use package-level FMS values (e.g., Denmark at $8.5 billion) for affordability comparisons; interceptor unit costs understate total program cost by an order of magnitude.
Pro Briefing block — memo-ready
Also in Professional: tracker exports
The same treatment extends across the archive as tracker exports: what changed, who is affected, why it matters, and what remains uncertain.
THAAD · Production pressure
2026-01-29
Prime
Lockheed Martin / Missile Defense Agency
What changed
Framework agreement to expand THAAD interceptor output.
Professional-use note
Flags upper-tier interceptor supply as an industrial-capacity constraint for market and briefing workflows.
SAMP/T NG · Delivery / qualification movement
2025-12
Prime
Eurosam / MBDA / Thales
What changed
First systems moving toward initial deliveries after qualification firings.
Professional-use note
Separates European long-range backbone renewal from generic AMD demand language.
Sky Sabre · Service-entry baseline
2021-12-09
Prime
MBDA UK / Saab
What changed
First Sky Sabre tranche accepted into British Army service.
Professional-use note
Provides a clean service baseline before using later CAMM-family procurement as a demand signal.
SPYDER · Delivery movement
2025-09-02
Prime
Rafael / ELTA Systems
What changed
First battery moved into military trials ahead of Czech fielding.
Professional-use note
Turns an export order into an observable European delivery path.
How to use it
Foundry Brief Professional access remains request-based today. The card above is the promise made concrete: the same source discipline as the free archive, packaged into deeper, reusable comparison objects.